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Aug 23

My Top 10 Favourite Self-Destructive Trading Thoughts

Finally – after weeks of hand cramps, crossed eyes and other nerd-induced unattractiveness, my testing is complete.

I’ve finally finished manually testing the FX 1H method I developed, and on Monday I started trading it live.  I really enjoyed testing it – the method made sense to me, gave me clear entries and exits with defined rules regarding each, and it felt good (enough) emotionally.

So I was understandably pretty keen to turn the money machine on and let it start churning out the cash.

Unfortunately, on the very first day of operation my lovely, shiny new method started making scary grinding noises and blowing out  a swirly mess of black smoke.  Crap.

My house on Monday. Sadly, my insurance doesn’t cover faulty money-machines.

It turned out there was something wedged in amongst the workings of the machine.   After much pulling and wrenching I managed to get the mangled object out, only to find it was, in fact me.

The Return Of The Evil Trader

I always seem to screw up the first day trading a new method.  It’s a weird thing.  It’s as though my whole internal being spontaneously rebels and shrieks and twist and turns and doesn’t want to go through with it.

It seems I have a freakishly noisy anti-trading persona residing in my head that makes itself heard at particularly inopportune moments.  Either that, or I might be possessed by Satan.

 My Top Ten Destructive Trading Thoughts

Taken From Monday.

  1. That resistance is way too close, I really shouldn’t have taken that signal. 
  2. I should definitely trade that breakout. My method doesn’t trade breakouts,but that’s a really good-looking trade.
  3. I’m long, this is a downtrend.  What the heck was I thinking?
  4. This going to be a loser, for sure.
  5. Price has ripped so far away from me – please don’t turn into a signal.
  6. This is clearly in a congestion range.  I’m going to ignore that signal and wait for a breakout.
  7. Buying spikes – this short is doomed.  See ya, money.
  8. Yippeee! It’s not turning into a signal!
  9. Ooh, nice profit – I should take that while it’s still there.
  10. Take the profit. TAKE THE PROFIT.  TAKE THE DAMN PROFIT!!!!!

As you can see, I was in fine form.

Thankfully, despite my mind being absolute crap and tormenting me every step of the way, I stuck to my plan like glue and actually ended up trading well.

But it fascinated me to watch and listen to myself trade.  It became very clear that there is some part of me that is quite intent on sabotaging my efforts – a part that would have been far more successful a couple of years back.

We all have an Evil Trader inside us that wants us to fail.  He sits there and watches, just waiting for the right moment to strike.

The problem most traders have is that they don’t realise he’s there.  They are so used to hearing his voice that they can’t distinguish their own thoughts from their Evil Traders and as a result their trading reflects their great big internal mash-up.

Ways to Recognise and Defeat Your Evil Trader

  • Have a plan.  If you don’t have a plan, your Evil Trader has zero boundaries and will take over entirely.  When you have a plan, you’ll start to notice him telling you not to follow it.  You’ll hear him whisper seductive anti-plan ideas that sound and look perfectly reasonable – except they aren’t in the plan.
  • Have an Evil Trader Journal.   The thing with ET is that often his ideas sound great and are really hard to ignore.  So as not to discard potentially good ideas, keep a log and after each trade is closed make a note of whether the idea would have been positive or detrimental to the outcome of your trade.  After a period of listing these ideas you’ll be able to notice that a) ET is wrong and he needs to shut it, or b) his idea deserves some further testing as it’s possible it has merit.
  • Try to make your method as water-tight as possible.  A signal needs to be a signal without a shadow of a doubt.  An exit needs to be a definite exit, no two ways about it.  The more black and white the better, as your Evil Trader loves to second guess your judgement.  Planting seeds of doubt is just the way he rolls.
  • Make a check-list for those times when you’re just not sure.   There will always be times when things just don’t seem so clear-cut.  This is your evil trader’s very favourite moment to strike.  You need to be armed with your weapons of ET destruction – aka, your check-list – to guide you through.  Having a checklist on hand allows you to objectively determine whether what you think you’re seeing is in fact what the market is presenting.

***

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  • http://twitter.com/phmarco Marco Moreira

    Hey Jess,

    Love your content, very clear and upbeat at the same time! I am currently manually forward testing my plan and was just wondering if you could describe your process of taking rough trading ideas all the way through to reality? At what point do you feel good to go with it? Is there a certain R expectancy, win rate, etc threshold? Kinda hard to know if my stuff is any “good” without anybody else to talk to… Thanks!

    • http://www.roguetraderette.com/ Jessica Peletier

      I know what you mean – it is hard without knowing a benchmark for what worthwhile :)
      The system I tested returned on average 1.5R/week, with a win rate between 30-40% depending on the pair.

      I felt good to go with this method once I tested it and it was positive. There was one pair that it wasn’t, so I dropped that pair as my method is trend-following and the dud pair is traditionally sideways and not suited to a trend-following approach.

      However, it was only slightly negative (-3 pips per trade avge, compared to about +16/trade for the others) which gave me confidence that even in a crap pair the method isn’t going to destroy me.

  • graeme

    Hi Jess

    Really enjoy the honesty and thoughtful blogs; found myself recalling

    yr blog on Friday & realised I have 2 more that apply:

    1. Why is everyone making money from this market & I am not?

    (Fact is everyone isn’t but sometimes it feels that way)

    2. I am such a loser. (After sometimes surprisingly few losing trades;

    just found out the power of checking EVERY trade for a week when I was

    feeling that way & realised I am only 1/2 a loser; LOL)

    Anyway keep up the great work; just thought I would share & too wordy

    for T.

    cheers g

  • The Ghost of old 97

    Great article. A journal is a good start, but its always rear facing. I would suggest you need something to guide you thats forward facing; a map of directions for your trade.

    The best way I have found after trading full time for over 10 years is to create your own very personal trading rules book, or as Van Tharpe calls it a Trading Plan. What signals you will take, which ones you wont, the size of your trades, where your stops are, When do you know your system isnt working, how to figure out it is and press your advantage?The “fines” for failing to adhere to your trading plan.

    Fine tune it again and again over the course of a cyclical bull and cyclical bear. Commit it to memory, make there be some hard consequences if you don’t trade your rules (ie. If I fail to follow 2 rules in a trading day, no trading for rest of week (LIVE BY THE PUNISHMENTS)), continue to refine, add a rule and delete a rule as you grow and change as a trader, BACKTEST(!!!!) repeat the process.

    I promise it will help kill most of the demons.

    • http://www.roguetraderette.com/ Jessica Peletier

      I love Van Tharp, he has heaps of great stuff. I totally agree regarding a plan, it was the first thing i mentioned before a journal :)
      However, it takes a great deal of self-discipline to follow your own punishment! I think private traders have it the toughest of all traders in terms of a lack of accountability.

      • The Ghost of old 97

        Regarding self-discipline, I would say that not following your fines is akin to lying in your journal (something every trader has done (be honest)). I used to clean up my bad trades as I felt dumb admitting my errors and dumb^2 committing that stupidity to paper (even though no one will ever read them).

        It took me a lot of time to finally understand that the rules are there for my own protection, the journal entries are to chase down the demons.

        That said, if self-discipline were easy, we would all be market wizards :-)

        Sorry for the various spelling errors and missing some of the points of the article – It was early and I was only 1/2 way through my first cup of coffee.

        keep up the good work.

        ’97

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  • http://twitter.com/jasonbgordon Jason Gordon

    I like your last two points a lot. to me, they are the key to overcoming the “evil trader” inside.

    If you have a clearly defined plan and the confidence to stick to it, you should be fine. However, it’s important to develop that confidence without deviation from the plan. Back-testing the strategy can help build this confidence. Each time you execute according to plans you reinforce the behavior that is in line with your strategy.

    I also like the checklist idea. If well incorporated into your strategy, you can allow for non-systematic trading decisions to be a part of your process. What I mean is, you can allow yourself to make observations that are not technical and weigh them against each other. This will often cause diverging view points, so it’s important to acknowledge conflicting arguments without going insane (often both sides will seem so right). The important thing is to know when it is a good time to allow these thoughts in and when you should be executing trades in a systematic fashion without hesitation or doubt…

    • http://www.roguetraderette.com/ Jessica Peletier

      yep, agreed.

  • http://www.onlythemomo.blogspot.com/ Market Monkey

    It’s funny ’cause your posts bring me back to books I’ve read or concepts that took me literally years to become aware of. This reminds me of the “internal observer” idea from Brett Steenbarger’s book, “The Psychology of Trading”.

    Lovin’ the direction of your posts- I hope less experienced traders realise that this is where the work needs to be done (in my opinion).

    MM